The other morning I was meeting with two lawyers and their stockbroker. One of the lawyers asked the stockbroker, “Well, how did we do yesterday in the stock market?” The stockbroker gave a self-assured response by referring to the market being down based upon the DOW, the NASDAQ and the S&P indexes.
Then one of the lawyers asked me, “What is the real estate market doing?” I responded, “Are you asking about farmland around Bowling Green or hunting ground around Fulton? And, if you’re asking about Centralia, are you asking about north or south of Centralia? And, as far as hunting land, are you asking about hunting ground south of Fulton or west of Fulton? What size tracts are you asking about? To which market are you referring?” Then I explained that unlike the stock market, there is no “national” real estate market. And if there were, it would be meaningless. Here’s why.
No two real estate transactions are ever the same. Even two identical houses built side by side are not the same because they are in different locations. Furthermore, the location factor is not the only issue that stops real estate from becoming a recognized national market.
The stock market is based upon national and international economies while the real estate market is based upon the local economy. For example, economic changes that affect Microsoft stock will change the value of Microsoft all over the world. In real estate, economic changes in Chicago that affect the local real estate market have no direct effect on the real estate market in Troy, Missouri, or in any other part of the world. Changes in interest rates are probably the only issue that affects real estate on a nationwide basis and even there we find exceptions.
Even though real estate cannot be expressed as a national market, people still refer to the real estate economy by using nationally-based statistics. While the statistics are attention-grabbing, they do not reflect the economic differences of each local real estate market.
Furthermore, the nationally-based statistics do not recognize the uniqueness of each home, commercial building and/or parcel of land within that local economy. In other words, these national, state and even county statistics are worthless to a buyer and/or seller.
So this is why when I’m asked, “What is the real estate market doing,” I respond with, “To which real estate market do you refer?